jack江

jack江
The mind is calm and natural Entering must be cautious, only for reference and not responsible for the consequences All notes are accountable only to oneself and not to others
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Starting today, set a rule for yourself: analyze the trends of at least 5 coins every day.
Not to show off, not to place trades, but simply to maintain sensitivity to the market. The market never gives advance notice; it only rewards those who watch and review the charts daily.
5 coins, no more, no less. Spend an hour or two going through the structure, checking the volume, and feeling the key levels. Over time, the signals that others can't see will gradually come into your view.
The act of persistence itself is worth more than any single trade.
Starting today, no exceptions.
$BTC $ETH $SOL


Evening Review: BTC breaks 80,000, long positions got wiped out again
Didn't watch the market much during the day, but when I checked back in the evening, I was stunned.
BTC hit a low of 79,779 today, breaking below 80,000. Now it's barely hovering around 80,500.
Across the network, liquidations totaled $277 million, with 96,000 people liquidated. Long position liquidations accounted for 68%.
———————$BTC
The largest single liquidation was an ETH contract on Binance, $2.71 million wiped out in one go.
Watching these numbers gave me chills.
Not because I got liquidated—I didn’t open any positions during the day.
But because I almost chased longs this afternoon.
At that time, seeing BTC bounce from 79,800 back to 80,200, I thought “this is the bottom” and wanted to jump in.
Later got busy with work and didn’t place the order in time.
Looking back now, glad I didn’t.
———————$ETH
Why did it drop so hard today? I looked into it, and three things collided:
1. CPI data exploded. April YoY at 3.8%, no chance of rate cuts, and some even speculate rate hikes by year-end. Once rate hike expectations rise, crypto is the first to get hit.
2. Iran and Israel tensions remain unsettled. Ceasefire is basically ineffective, oil prices won’t drop, who dares to buy risky assets?
3. Trump’s summit yielded no substantial progress. The market can’t find a reason to go long.
Three heavy blows, BTC just collapsed.
Key levels I noted tonight:
· Support below at 79,200–79,800. If broken, next support at 78,000.
· Resistance above at 81,600–82,100. Probably out of reach for now.
· If BTC falls below 76,672, $1.2 billion in long positions will be liquidated; if it can surge above 84,492, shorts will face a $1.6 billion squeeze—but that seems far off now.
ETH is similar, support at 2,255, resistance at 2,350–2,400.
Biggest variable tomorrow: Senate vote on the CLARITY Act. If it passes, sentiment might recover a bit; if not, prices may fall further.
My plan for tonight:
· Play it safe: do nothing. First see if the 80,000 level can hold. If confirmed, consider a small long position tomorrow with a stop loss at 79,500.
· If feeling itchy: at most place a very small long near 79,200, with a tight stop loss and leverage no more than 5x—but I probably won’t.
No rush to bottom-fish tonight. Survival first, wait for clearer direction.
One last note: this is just my personal review, not a signal to copy. If contracts liquidate, no one will compensate you.
Brothers, are you still watching tonight? I’m about to make some instant noodles and watch the market, but I don’t plan to open any positions.
#美国4月CPI录得3.8%,超出预期
#CLARITY法案:309页草案公布
#ETH网络升级倒计时



$ZEC ZEC's position is really uncertain right now, anyone want to keep an eye on it together?
Let me start with myself.
I missed the 50% surge in ZEC last month because I got scared after being burned by $LAB before, so when I saw it rising, my reflex was to short.
Now ZEC is hovering around 553, neither up nor down. I've been watching for two days, but neither bulls nor bears dare to make a move.
Here's what I see.
The bulls do have some points.
Grayscale has applied for a ZEC ETF, which would be the first privacy coin ETF. If approved, it would be big news. The institutions at Multicoin are also buying; their boss said ZEC is like "private gold." Also, Paradigm and a16z invested $25 million in Zcash development.
The most concrete thing is: currently, 30% of ZEC is sent to privacy addresses, not just short-term speculation, but real usage. Also, the SEC previously investigated the Zcash Foundation and ended with "no issues, no penalties," effectively giving it a compliant status. Plus, next month a quantum-resistant wallet will launch, making ZEC the first privacy coin resistant to quantum computers.
Sounds impressive, but I don't dare to jump in just on stories.
The bears have their reasons too.
In the past two days, exchanges have seen a net outflow of $48 million worth of ZEC, mostly profit-taking. The daily RSI dropped from a high to 71, and MACD is converging, showing signs of stalling.
There's also a superstition: every time ZEC has a violent pump, BTC is almost at its peak. As someone trading altcoin contracts, this worries me because when BTC falls, altcoins crash too.
Here's how I see the key levels now.
Below 538-545 is the last defense line; if it breaks, I will definitely exit. Above 620-629 is a heavy resistance zone; several times before, attempts to break there were smashed down.
There's a big event tomorrow.
The CLARITY Act vote is on Thursday. If it passes, the regulatory framework for digital assets will be set, which is very positive for privacy coins like ZEC. If it fails, the positive sentiment might reverse and cause a dump.
Also, ZEC futures open interest dropped 17% in 24 hours, indicating everyone is actively reducing leverage, fearing volatility around the vote.
What am I thinking?
I have two plans and haven't decided yet:
1. Wait for a pullback near 545, open a small long position with a stop loss below 520. First target 570-580, lock in half profits there, then watch 620. If it holds above 570, it might reach 650+.
2. Do nothing and wait for the vote result. Charging in without direction is just throwing money away.
Whatever I choose, I set strict rules for myself:
Altcoin contract positions no more than 20% of total funds, leverage max 3-5x. ZEC is too volatile, with frequent 20% pullbacks; high leverage will just get wiped out.
Some say ZEC is like SOL back in the day; everyone thought privacy coins would be banned, but institutions rushed in. I also think 620 isn't the top, but the premise is to survive until then.
Brothers, what do you think? Will it pump before the vote tomorrow? Or keep waiting?
I'm watching the 538-545 range now; if it breaks, I'll exit; if not, I'll try a small position. Gambling is gambling, just don't bet your life on it.
#美国4月CPI录得3.8%,超出预期
#CLARITY法案:309页草案公布
#OKXPizzaDay



SAHARA$SAHARA
Current Status
· The trend is no longer sideways, but this position is no longer a comfortable entry point.
· Price deviates from the key level by 6.1%.
· Structure rating: 7/10.
Technical Indicators
· Market: Sideways (originally marked as sideways)
· RSI: 60.11 (still in the strong zone)
· MACD: Golden cross
· Bollinger Bands: Price is moving within the range
Capital Dynamics
· Main funds have started to show participation.
Core Issues (current direct risk-reward for participation)
· Stop loss: 0.03962
· Risk: about 7.3%
· Target space: about 12.7%
· Risk-reward ratio: 1 : 0.87
Key Level
· 0.04030 — Holding here is necessary for the trend to have the possibility to accelerate further.
Suggestion
The most important thing now is not to chase, but to wait.
Those who truly make money are often very patient.
=========================
Over-reliance on technical indicators while ignoring price action itself. Frequent switching of timeframes causes directional confusion. Failure to reduce positions before major data releases, resulting in stop loss being hit by sudden volatility. No review after market close, repeatedly making the same mistakes. Weak emotional recovery ability, rushing to recover losses after a single loss, disrupting the rhythm. Trading is not about who predicts more accurately, but who makes fewer mistakes and corrects them faster.
#美国4月CPI录得3.8%,超出预期
#在OKX交易美股:从英伟达到SpaceX
#ETH网络升级倒计时



May altcoin rotation accelerates — funds are flowing from Bitcoin to these 4 sectors
Family~~ BTC dropped below 80,000 then bounced back to 81,000
But the altcoin season index is only 35 (75 to confirm)
BTC dominance remains above 60%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━$BTC
Historical patterns tell us:
After BTC dominance peaks, funds start rotating into altcoins within 1-2 quarters
This current window is worth watching closely 👀
Four sectors have already shown clear capital signals:
1. AI + Infrastructure: Toncoin, Zcash, Venice Token break resistance with high volume
2. Solana ecosystem: Spot ETF launched + Western Union and JPMorgan choose SOL as stablecoin settlement layer + Pumpfun monthly fees hit $70 million + TPS back above 3000
3. Sui ecosystem: DeepBook launches Predict, related token DEEP daily volume surges 976% + 21Shares spot SUI ETF listed on Nasdaq
4. DeFi lending track: AAVE V4 launched, RWA lending platform Horizon net deposits near $550 million, value capture logic explodes
━━━━━━━━━━━━━$ETH
Retail participation in altcoin rotation [Four-step practical method]:
Step 1: Choose projects with real revenue and institutional cooperation
Prioritize SOL, AAVE with ETF access or stable returns, avoid pure speculation
Step 2: Start testing positions when BTC dominance falls from 60% to below 58%
Altcoin total allocation should not exceed 40% of total crypto assets, keep BTC base position for hedging
Step 3: Set phased take-profit for each coin, sell half after 30% gain, and clearly define stop-loss levels
Step 4: Never chase highs, patiently wait for capital rotation to return
If rotation comes and you’re not in, then you rush in after it’s gone — that’s truly painful 🍺
#在OKX交易美股:从英伟达到SpaceX
#美国4月CPI录得3.8%,超出预期
#ETH网络升级倒计时



$278 million evaporated overnight! Who's getting cut in the long-short battle?
Damn~~ so~ so~ ruthless 😱
In the past 24 hours, $278 million in market-making liquidations across the network
Long positions liquidated $231 million, short positions only $47.36 million
Nearly 100,000 people forcibly liquidated, largest single order: Binance ETH 2.714 million
Bitcoin long liquidations $57.18 million, Ethereum long liquidations $65.05 million
━━━━━━━━━━━━$BTC
Why did the long squeeze happen? Three bombs exploded simultaneously 💣
· US-Iran tensions escalate, Trump rejects peace proposal, panic spreads
· US April CPI up 3.8% YoY, exceeding expectations, fears of rate hikes double
· Bitcoin briefly fell below 80,000, triggering high-leverage contract stop-loss orders
In an avalanche, no snowflake is innocent ❄️
━━━━━━━━━━━━$ETH
Before opening contracts, check this set of hidden bomb data 💣
If BTC breaks above 84,492 — short position liquidation intensity $1.884 billion
If BTC falls below 76,672 — long position liquidation intensity $1.198 billion
Ethereum: break above 2390 short position risk $1.423 billion
Fall below 2167 long position risk $741 million
Poor risk control means even big profits are just paper wealth
Control leverage, set strong liquidation lines — don’t bet the market will never crash
---
#美国4月CPI录得3.8%,超出预期
#ETH网络升级倒计时



Top 5 Hot Altcoin Picks for May! Can You Still Get In on These Coins Now?
Brothers~~ The May market is running faster than a dog 🐕🦺
Which altcoins can still surge? Institutional holdings + fundamentals, four major sectors lined up 👇
━━━━━━━━━━$SOL
1. Solana (SOL)~~ Around $95, down 1.3% in 24 hours
Ethereum’s strongest substitute~~ Abu Dhabi’s $1.65 billion ecosystem fund injection + ETF expectations
Short-term target $150, mid-to-long term $200-$500 🚀
━━━━━━━━━━$XRP
1. XRP~~ $1.415, leading compliant cross-border payment
After winning the lawsuit, institutions are going crazy over it, target $2
━━━━━━━━━━$ZEC
1. Zcash (ZEC)~~ Privacy coin dark horse
Arthur Hayes says: ZEC price will reach 10% of BTC!
Institutional capital has quietly flowed in
1. Sui (SUI)~~ New public chain with Move language
a16z and Sequoia Capital backing, broke through $1.26 yesterday, surged over 16% in one day
Ecosystem just starting, huge potential
1. Chainlink (LINK)~~ Oracle leader
Connecting on-chain and off-chain, essential for RWA and DeFi
Staking yields boost deflation expectations, short-term $20, mid-to-long term $50
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Positioning advice:
Core positions (ETH/SOL/AAVE) 60-70%
Satellite positions (SUI/PENDLE/HYPE) 30-40%
Overall altcoins should not exceed 40% of total crypto assets~~ keep BTC as the base to survive
⚠️ High-level reduction warning:
BTC dominance falling from 58% signals altcoin capital rotation
Only below 50% is the real altcoin party season
Don’t chase highs~~ control your hands 🙏



$PROS
🔥 Brothers, it's really~ really~ really here!
PROS spot trading is about to launch. Is this the countdown to the harvest?
#VolatilityRadar: Coin movement watch
Big trouble! 🚨
OKX officially announces $PROS spot trading will soon be open
Only 2 hours left until the showdown
Don't foolishly think "new coin listing" means free money
This is most likely a 【deadly guillotine】! ⚠️
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
According to the bitter lessons from veteran crypto traders:
✅ All good news exhausted = floodgates of bad news open
Many coins, when only contracts exist, see the main players desperately pumping and repeatedly shaking you out
Once the spot market opens, liquidity explodes
The main players then hit you with a 【sucker punch】~~ hanging you on the mountaintop like a wind chime ❄️
Look at $PROS's current chart:
Already violently twitching at a high level, MACD histogram clearly exhausted
This is a typical script of "good news landing, nothing grows"
Upward space is nailed shut, downward pressure is terrifying 📉
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Veteran traders' 【three survival moves】:
1.【No chasing highs】The moment spot opens is very likely the highest point of this round
2.【Short position ambush】As usual, spot listing is often followed by a wave of slow decline, with a very high short win rate
3.【Stop loss locked】Contract brothers, don't tough it out, volatility will be brutal enough to call you daddy
Spot trading launch~~ is it the main players' "welcome gift"
Or retail investors' "send-off drink"?
You decide
#美国4月CPI录得3.8%,超出预期




Brothers~~ Trump is here! Really here!
Boarding "Air Force One," officially departing for China✈️
This is big news that could blow up the entire macro market
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
You think it's just politics? Too naive🤡
Behind this are trade, tariffs, and the dollar's movement
Once a signal of easing is released~~ global risk assets will take off directly
Damn~~ $BTC won't be 83000 at that time
It could be 93000 or even higher😱
⸻$BTC
On the other hand, if talks fail~~ a black swan could hit you anytime
Altcoins will be slashed again and again, no time to even cry
⸻$ETH
At this time, it depends on who has stable positions and who can hold on
The messier the news~~ the more the value of on-chain staking stands out
⸻$BILL
This kind of market is most likely to produce miracles
Long positions near 0.1 might be tomorrow's palace
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
In short~~ this trip by Trump
Either takes us to the moon or to the underworld
Brothers, fasten your seatbelts
🗣️ Follow the negotiation details closely, it's more important than watching the K-line



After losing everything, you can go deliver takeout for a couple of months and start over; if your wife leaves, you can find another one, and if not, you still have your right hand.
It sounds pretty carefree.
But after reading it, I just felt a chill down my spine.
Because usually, only people who have lost badly say things like this.
Who in their right mind worries about what to do if their wife leaves?
——————@天才交易员绿毛
The problem is, how many people in the crypto world keep charging in and blowing up their accounts again and again because of this idea of "losing everything but still being able to start over"?
They always think there’s a way out, so they go all in recklessly.
Only when there’s truly no way out do they realize delivering takeout isn’t that easy.
——————@天才少女秋秋
Working over ten hours a day, earning just 200 yuan, not even enough to cover the interest.
I know people like this.
They said before that if they lost money, they’d go drive for Didi, but when they really lost everything, they couldn’t even pay the car loan.
So don’t believe in sayings like "bankruptcy is financial, not life."
You may survive bankruptcy, but life becomes really hard.
Credit card collectors chase you, friends avoid you, family worries about you.
How long can you keep delivering takeout to pay off debts?
I read that post and didn’t feel inspired, only scared.
I’m afraid I might become like that—saying I don’t care, but inside already broken.
——————@OKX星球
So I want to say to my brothers in the crypto world:
Never get to the point of "losing everything and delivering takeout to start over."
That’s not carefree; it’s having no other choice.
Control your position size, don’t go all in, don’t borrow online loans to play contracts.
Cut losses when you should, admit defeat when you must.
Don’t wait until your wife leaves to remember you still have a home.
Instead of losing everything and sitting on the curb, feeding yourself empty encouragement.
——————@OKX成长学院


When I came across this screenshot of $LAB, I was lying in bed, and my phone was about to die.
I was just casually scrolling, getting ready to sleep.
But I kept staring at those few lines, reading them over and over again.
"Can't hold on at 23."
"All my strength has been drained."
"Haven't opened the market all week."
Below were two debt collection messages.
Ping An. Industrial Bank.
"Serious overdue."
"Litigation is planned."
Further down, there was a $LAB liquidation record.
Opening price 4.47, closing price 4.28.
Lost 86%.
23 years old.
I'm about the same age this year.
When I previously got liquidated, I said exactly the same thing:
"I'm still young, I can earn it back."
But when I said that, I didn’t even believe myself.
Because that feeling wasn’t just about being out of money.
It was like my whole being was drained.
I didn’t dare look at my phone.
I didn’t dare answer calls.
I didn’t dare open the market.
Even turning over felt exhausting.
I used to see screenshots like this and think: What does it have to do with me?
It’s not me who got liquidated.
But today, I don’t know why.
I suddenly felt this person might be me next month.
Or maybe, I already am him.
He just expressed what’s in his heart a step earlier than I did.
I stared at the phrase "Sorry, Mom and Dad,"
and remembered my mom calling last month asking if I had enough money to get by,
I said "Yes."
But I hadn’t even gathered next month’s rent.
I’m not feeling sorry for him.
I’m afraid of feeling sorry for him.
Because feeling sorry for him
is like feeling sorry for myself in advance.
23 years old.
Credit card overdue.
Contract liquidation.
Not even the courage to open the phone.
This is not just one person’s story.
It’s a mirror for too many people in our circle.
I quietly saved the screenshot.
And silently told myself:
Brother, I know how hard it is for you.
Because I am just like you.
Maybe the next one will be me.
#在OKX交易美股:从英伟达到SpaceX
#日本国债收益率创29年新高
#沉寂8年巨鲸四天清空$13.5亿ETH
