数据：BTC 在 4 月突破至今仍维持在短期持有者成本之上，周期底部终将形成
ChainCatcher 消息，链上数据分析师 Murphy 表示，成本基础和价格行为的关系变化是观察 BTC 形成底部结构的最佳视角之一，而 “1-3 个月短期持有者成本基础”（1-3m_RP）是其中最有效的参考依据。每一轮熊底结构的形成都伴随着短期持有者成本基础（1-3m_RP、黄线）逐渐转向的过程，以此前周期为例：15-16 年，BTC 首次突破短期持有者成本基础后很长一段时间内围绕其上下穿梭；19-20 年，BTC 强势突破短期持有者成本基础，此后走出一段小牛行情；22-23 年，BTC 突破短期持有者成本基础后又二次回踩，获得支撑后再次反弹。本轮 BTC 在 4 月 15 日突破至今，仍维持在短期持有者成本基础之上。但无论接下来走势如何，底部终将形成，BTC 都将突破黄线并必然转向。分析师认为，重要的不是预测具体走势，而是提前做好应对并合理配置仓位。往年走势只是举例说明并非投资建议。
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