美银：美股迈向连续四年双位数涨幅，材料股料成下一强势板块
Odaily星球日报讯 美国银行迈克尔·哈特内特领导的团队表示，美股正迈向连续第四年录得两位数涨幅，这种极为罕见的行情在历史上仅出现过少数几次。标普 500 指数目前对应年化涨幅约 20%。这种持续性的大涨行情此前仅出现在第二次世界大战期间、战后数年的和平时期，以及 1995 年至 1999 年的泡沫阶段。
最新一轮由人工智能资本开支狂潮带来的动力进一步推高了股市，但上涨范围非常狭窄。如今，其他板块也开始出现更强劲的涨势。哈特内特及其团队认为，受美国经济韧性支撑，小盘股、新兴市场以及大宗商品“都正迎来长期牛市转折点”。
美银团队预计，材料类股票将成为下一批强势上涨板块。尽管该板块目前仅占标普 500 指数的 2%，接近 30 年来低点，但这一情况预计将发生改变。围绕资源的地缘政治争夺、军费开支增加、人工智能资本开支热潮，以及解决住房短缺问题的努力，将使材料板块成为“新的牛市主角”。(金十)
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