机构:伊朗战争正以前所未有的速度消耗全球石油缓冲库存

Odaily星球日报讯 随着伊朗战争导致波斯湾石油运输受阻,全球石油库存正以创纪录的速度被消耗,这正在侵蚀原本用于抵御供应冲击的缓冲库存。库存的迅速萎缩意味着,出现更极端价格飙升和供应短缺的风险正越来越近。在霍尔木兹海峡接近关闭两个月之际,各国政府和各行业应对超过 10 亿桶供应损失冲击的选择越来越少。库存的急剧消耗也意味着,即使在冲突结束后,市场仍将在更长时间内容易受到未来供应中断的影响。摩根士丹利估计,在 3 月 1 日至 4 月 25 日期间,全球石油库存平均每天减少约 480 万桶,这远远超过了国际能源署汇编数据中季度库存减少的此前峰值。其中原油占减少量的近 60%,其余为成品油。关键在于,石油系统也需要设定一个最低库存水平。摩根大通全球大宗商品研究主管娜塔莎·卡内瓦表示,这意味着在库存真正见底之前,就先触达了不能再动的那部分安全库存。(金十)
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