Lei06

Lei06

Crypto Market Participants & Web3 Content Creators. Study on-chain data, track hot narratives, and make transactions that you can understand. I believe that good content requires patience just like good positions.

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Altcoin rebound rally continues, SUI up over 26% in 24 hours On May 11, according to HTX market data, as mainstream tokens like Bitcoin strengthen again, previously oversold altcoins continue their rebound rally, including: OSMO up 49% in 24 hours, currently priced at $0.0504; SUI up 26% in 24 hours, currently priced at $1.349; LAYER up 24% in 24 hours, currently priced at $0.1247; Fan tokens PSG and OG both up over 13% in 24 hours. $SUI $LAYER
Lei06
Lei06
Look at the power of AI—instantly changing people and environments. If scammers use AI, it becomes way too easy to deceive people. So the voices you hear in video calls or phone calls might not be real 😱
Lei06
Lei06
BILL current price $0.1228, 24h high $0.1306, UTC open $0.1208. First, why today is worth considering a short position. Latest 10 periods of long position ratio: 55.50% → 54.27% → 50.93% → 56.54% → 57.35% → 57.20% → 60.41% → 60.94% → 58.76% → 58.07% (latest) In the last period of this series, it was noted that the right side of the W-shaped arc completed at 60.94%, just 0.62 percentage points short of tying the previous series high of 61.56%. Today: 58.07%. No breakout, it turned down. 60.94% is the peak of this rebound—the long ratio failed to break the previous series high and has now declined for two consecutive periods. OI is shrinking simultaneously: peak at $9.30M, latest today $7.17M—$2.13M less in positions, indicating longs are quietly exiting, not adding. Taker ratio in the last 4 periods: 0.9814 → 0.9797 → 0.9652 → 0.9502—all below 1.0, sellers are more aggressive than buyers, four consecutive periods. Plainly put: longs are selling at highs, OI is shrinking, market selling is more active—this does not look like a bullish sign. Short position reference: First entry zone (optimal): $0.130 - $0.135 Reason: Today's high $0.1306 is a recent resistance zone; a rebound here is likely to meet resistance. The long ratio peak formed near this price, making it the best risk-reward entry point. Second entry zone (near current price): $0.122 - $0.126 Reason: If no rebound occurs, the current price can be lightly tested, provided OI continues to shrink and Taker remains below 1.0, indicating sustained selling pressure. Stop loss: above $0.158 Reason: The highest point this round is $0.1525; allowing some buffer, if it rises above $0.158 and holds, it means longs have regained control, invalidating the short logic, so exit. Target 1: $0.105 Target 2: $0.095 (a low point already reached yesterday; if longs truly collapse, this can be touched) Signals that invalidate today's short logic: • Long ratio returns above 61% • OI expands back above $9M • Taker ratio stands above 1.05 for two consecutive periods • Price effectively holds above $0.135 If any of these occur, the short logic must be reassessed. 60.94% was the peak of this rebound; failing to break the previous high, it turned down—now OI is shrinking, Taker is selling, longs are exiting. $0.130-$0.135 is the best short window today. $BILL
Lei06
Lei06
Amazing, this dance can also be paired with opera 👍
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Lei06
BTC today $81,348, 24h volatility less than $1,000. You might think there's nothing much to say—right, there's just no movement. But one thing is interesting: BTC hasn't risen, but the number of short sellers has been increasing over the past 4 hours. Currently, 58% of accounts are shorting BTC at $81K. One possibility is: these people see something the bulls haven't noticed—Fed inflation expectations heating up, Strategy pausing purchases, and the $70K prediction being brought up again. Another possibility is: they plan to use stop-loss orders once again to help BTC rise. Fear & Greed: 47 (Neutral). At $81K, shorts are increasing, big buyers have paused, but $80K still holds—someone in this situation will break first.
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Lei06
BTC today $81,348, up less than 1% in 24h, highest $81,499, lowest $80,568—throughout the day, it just oscillated within a box of less than $1,000. First, let's talk about a number that this series has been tracking recently. Short position ratio for the last 10 periods: 55.90% → 56.16% → 56.34% → 56.91% → 57.66% → 57.94% → 57.57% → 57.46% → 57.51% → 58.25% (latest) Out of these 10 periods, 9 have been rising. Currently, 58.25% of accounts are shorting BTC. Note: BTC’s price has basically not moved in these 10 periods—but the number of short sellers has quietly increased. Plain explanation: It’s not that BTC is falling and more people are shorting because of that. BTC hasn’t fallen, yet more people think "it should fall" and are shorting it. There are two possibilities: One: These shorts are right. BTC has been holding at $80K for so long, accumulating downward pressure—once it breaks, it will be a big drop. Today’s news also says the Fed’s latest forecast predicts inflation will heat up, delaying rate hikes and cuts, and the $70K prediction is back in discussion. The other: These shorts are wrong. Those who shorted at $79K are still holding at $80K; those who shorted at $80K are still holding at $81K—every step BTC moves up, previous shorts move closer to losses. 58% of accounts shorting means 58% of accounts are potential stop-loss buy orders. A new variable appeared today: Strategy, the world’s largest BTC institutional holder, recently paused buying. This company used to buy BTC weekly, but suddenly stopped. Not selling, just stopped buying. But "losing a big buyer" itself is a signal—the market is waiting to see when they will start buying again. $80K still holds, shorts are increasing, big buyers paused, and the Fed is scaring people again— What BTC is doing today is neither rising nor falling, it’s making everyone uncomfortable. Bulls are unsatisfied, shorts aren’t profiting, everyone is waiting. $BTC
Lei06
Lei06
UTC intraday +6%, 24h +22%. But what’s most worth watching today isn’t the increase, it’s the arc line this series has been tracking all along. Latest 10 periods of long position ratio: 56.42% → 61.56% → 55.50% → 54.27% → 50.93% → 56.54% → 57.35% → 57.20% → 60.41% → 60.94% (latest) Last time this series wrote about BILL, it described a W-shaped structure: from the high of 61.56%, it dropped all the way down to 50.93%—just 0.93 percentage points above 50%, almost reaching the long-short equilibrium line, then started to rebound. Today: 60.94%. From 50.93% rebounding to 60.94%, it rose a total of 10 percentage points. Just 0.62 percentage points shy of the previous series high of 61.56%. In plain terms: after the long position ratio hit the bottom, this group regained their confidence, and almost fully recovered it. This is no coincidence. The price rose 22% in 24h today, and the number of longs increased during the price rise—not forced, but actively entering. The question now is: is the previous high of 61.56% the next threshold to break? If the long ratio continues to rise and breaks above 61.56% to a new high, it means the bulls’ confidence is even stronger than at the last peak—usually in this case, the price still has room to grow. If it stops around 61%, just like last time, then it could be another starting point for a downward move. The W-shaped long position arc completed its right side today, just a breath away from matching the previous high—this 0.62 percentage point gap is the most important number to watch in today’s entire BILL story. $BILL
Lei06
Lei06
PallasGold Liquid Metal Paint, the opening chapter of Bentley's pure electric era Bentley uses the EXP 15 to start the prologue of its pure electric era. As a preview of the first mass-produced pure electric model in 2026, its inspiration comes from the legendary 1930 Speed Six "Blue Train": the iconic upright grille is reinterpreted with a matrix LED, the brand-new illuminated double-wing badge debuts, and the long hood with a fastback line recreates the classic Grand Tourer posture. The body’s Pallas Gold liquid metal paint contains ultra-thin aluminum pigments, which restore the vintage luster of old car nickel decorations without affecting radar and lidar operation. Inside, it breaks tradition with a three-seat layout—the driver’s seat is centered, the rear single seat is independent, and even a pet cabin is reserved, extending Bentley’s luxury from riding to companionship. It is not a car for mass production, but Bentley’s declaration for the future: In the electric era, elegance never compromises.
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Lei06
VanEck Executive: Bitcoin Expected to Return to All-Time High Within 12 Months On May 10, VanEck Digital Asset Research Director Matthew Sigel stated in an interview with CNBC that he expects Bitcoin to retouch its all-time high within the next 12 months. He pointed out that the current correlation between BTC and the Nasdaq is near a 5-year high, with the resilience of the U.S. stock market driving this rebound. However, the derivatives market still lacks clear optimism; the futures and options markets mainly reflect short covering and hedging demand. Therefore, from a contrarian perspective, the trend may still have room to continue. Matthew Sigel also mentioned that this year, a central bank has announced incorporating Bitcoin into its foreign exchange reserves, indicating that BTC is gradually becoming a global asset used for large cross-border transaction settlements. He believes this is a major trend. Regarding investment direction, he is more optimistic about Bitcoin's market share growth and Bitcoin mining companies benefiting from the AI integration trend. He stated that mining companies are becoming key beneficiaries of AI infrastructure, and as AI business grows, the pressure on miners to sell BTC for funding is decreasing. Additionally, Matthew Sigel believes that if the CLARITY Act passes, it could reignite sentiment in the altcoin market, but currently institutional investors remain cautious about most altcoins due to regulatory and investor protection concerns.
Lei06
Lei06
Yesterday, this series wrote about LAB, ending with a sentence: "$5.00, once passed, 71% of the shorts will start worrying about stop-loss." Today, it passed. LAB hit a high of $5.38 today, an absolute new high since this series started tracking LAB. Every time LAB breaks through an integer price level, this series records the same thing: 71% of the short accounts took another step toward losses today. This is not mocking the short sellers. The 71% shorts are not random—they have their own judgments and logic. At specific points in time, their judgment is "this price is too high, it should fall." The problem is, every time this sentence is said, LAB rises further. The number of short sellers hasn’t decreased, but the price keeps pushing their stop-losses closer. This is the structure this series has been tracking: It’s not that the bulls have won, but the shorts haven’t given up yet. The moment they give up is the real acceleration. LAB is $5.12 today, with a high of $5.38—$5.00 held, and the cost of holding it is borne by 71% of the shorts. $5.00 was passed, then $5.38—71% of the shorts’ stop-losses moved one step closer today. $LAB