QCP:市场进入关键宏观窗口期,BTC短期或维持区间震荡

Odaily星球日报讯 CP Capital 最新市场报告指出,市场正进入关键一周,特朗普与中国领导人即将在北京会面,同时美国 4 月 CPI、PPI 及零售销售数据也将公布,市场关注通胀是否重新回升。
QCP 表示,对于加密市场而言,核心问题在于通胀放缓能否推动实际利率下降,从而继续支撑风险资产。尽管近期 ETF 出现资金流出,且市场围绕 Strategy 出售比特币传闻存在扰动,但 BTC 仍稳定维持在 8 万美元上方,整体表现仍具韧性。
此外,美国参议院银行委员会对《CLARITY Act》的审议也持续受到市场关注。不过,QCP 认为当前加密市场波动率接近年内低点,VIX 约维持在 18 附近,短期内市场或仍以区间震荡为主,并将 8.4 万美元视为关键阻力位。
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