K33:本轮比特币熊市有所不同,异常悲观的交易者限制了下行空间

ChainCatcher 消息,据 CoinDesk 报道,K33 Research 在一份报告中表示,这一轮比特币熊市有所不同,异常悲观的交易者限制了下行空间。比特币交易者持续处于防守状态,降低了杠杆驱动式崩盘的风险。研究主管 Vetle Lunde 指出,当前缓慢磨底并未重现此前周期中熊市反弹后迅速反转的走势,衍生品数据反而指向极度悲观。比特币 30 天平均资金费率已连续 81 天为负,接近历史最长纪录,CME 比特币期货年化基差降至 2.5% 以下,属极端谨慎水平。不过,比特币衍生品未平仓合约仍高企,若价格进一步走弱可能引发波动。K33 维持基本判断,认为 2 月份比特币跌至 60,000 美元可能是本轮最大回撤。
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