分析:若美国劳动参与率维持2024年水平,失业率或达5.3%

Odaily星球日报讯 财经网站 investinglive 评美国非农报告:美国就业参与率在四月持续下降,降至 61.8%。如果该数据保持在 2024 年的水平,那么美国的失业率将是 5.3%,而不是 4.3%。
市场分析师 Ye Xie 表示,劳动力市场自去年年底以来近期已趋于稳定,进入“低裁员、低招聘”的状态。今天的就业报告并未改变这一判断。
瑞穗银行 EMEA 固定收益、外汇及大宗商品策略主管 Jordan Rochester 写道,整体就业人数好于预期,但薪资增速更弱,同时过去三个月就业增长放缓的趋势并未改变。失业率再次维持不变,这使得市场很难认为劳动力市场出现了足够明显的放缓,从而支持今年降息的逻辑。除了排除部分分析师此前强调的更鸽派情景之外,这份数据并不足以推动市场朝任何方向出现大幅波动。(金十)
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